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What should I read to think more clearly?

Clear thinking starts with knowing how your own mind fails. These three cover the biases, the mental models that correct for them, and the discipline of calibrated judgment.

  1. Read this first

    Thinking, Fast and Slow

    Daniel Kahneman · · Recommended

    The foundational map of cognitive bias, from the researcher who built the field.

    Read the analysis →
  2. The Great Mental Models Volume 1

    Shane Parrish · · Recommended

    The practical toolkit: inversion, second-order thinking, circle of competence - models you can actually deploy.

    Read the analysis →
  3. Superforecasting

    Philip Tetlock · · Highly recommended

    What good judgment looks like in practice: precise probabilities, small updates, and scorekeeping.

    Read the analysis →