What should I read to think more clearly?
Clear thinking starts with knowing how your own mind fails. These three cover the biases, the mental models that correct for them, and the discipline of calibrated judgment.
- Read this first
Thinking, Fast and Slow
The foundational map of cognitive bias, from the researcher who built the field.
Read the analysis → -
The Great Mental Models Volume 1
The practical toolkit: inversion, second-order thinking, circle of competence - models you can actually deploy.
Read the analysis → -
Superforecasting
What good judgment looks like in practice: precise probabilities, small updates, and scorekeeping.
Read the analysis →